When we Republicans got our
you-know-whats handed to us in November's election, many of us were
shell-shocked and pretty damn confused.
Here we were, just coming out of a
recession that left people with less of everything -- less jobs,
less of a paycheck and less money for groceries and other living
expenses. Our unemployment rate was a whopping 8 percent, and getting
gas meant emptying your wallet or loading up your credit card with
close to what it costs to feed your family for a week.
We looked at the political landscape last fall thinking there was no way Republicans could possibly lose. And, then, it happened. We were wrong. Really wrong. Republicans lost, and lost badly.
Then, we started to second-guess ourselves. How on Earth could a majority of voters
cast their ballots for people who wanted to make life more expensive
for everyone in the form of taxes and health insurance mandates? Was it that those who voted Democratic were wealthier than they were letting on, so the sting didn't hit them? Did
they understand that they had a choice, that they could vote for people who wanted to keep
money in citizens' wallets, rather than asking them to hand it over to
the government?
Or was this a Republican problem? Had
our party become so undesirable that taxpayers turned their noses up
at us despite our fervent desire to keep their taxes and
cost-of-living low? Did people choose candidates who think exactly
the opposite just because of the “D” after their name?
Analysis showed us that while many Americans were thinking of their wallets when they
voted, that wasn't what ultimately made up their minds when they stepped into the voting booth. Instead, they were thinking about issues like abortion. Same-sex
marriage. Immigration. Contraception. Those awful comments about rape uttered by
Republican Todd Akin were ringing in their ears much louder than any
conservative fiscal argument made by presidential candidate Mitt
Romney.
While these social issues absolutely affect the world and get at the heart of how people believe we
should treat others in society, basic pocketbook issues affect whether people can provide for their family. Everyone has a bottom line. Everyone has to buy
groceries at some point. Pretty much everyone needs to use some sort
of transportation to get to work or school or wherever they spend
their day. Most have to pay some sort of tax or fee to the
government.
Perhaps you could argue that a majority
of voters were thinking unselfishly by voting based on social issues
rather than the health of their own wallet. But is there a tipping
point? Is there a point where people simply do not have the money to
pay the rising bill the government issues for just existing as a
citizen and change their vote accordingly? Will 2014 be the year when
voters finally say they've had “enough?”
Charlie Baker asked people the same question in 2010 with his slogan "Had Enough?", and voters responded by essentially saying, "no." They wanted more, and since then, they've gotten it.
Just after Obama won re-election, the
payroll tax increased, taking a 2 percent -- or $700 annual -- chunk
out of the average worker's paycheck. Perhaps $700 over an entire
year doesn't sound like a lot to some people, but it would likely
cover the bill for that damage your car sustained after hitting that gaping pothole on 93.
Then you have the expected increases
coming in your healthcare premium, courtesy of Obamacare. Some are
saying the increases could be as much as double what you're paying
now, particularly if you are a small-business or individual paying
for your own health insurance. We don't know how that affects you
personally, but for one of us here, that would mean our health
insurance would cost more than our rent.
It is almost certain that if premiums increase by this much, more Massachusetts residents will
have to rely on MassHealth to cover their health costs. And that will
require more revenue from everyone else to pay for that influx of new
enrollees.
Now today, Massachusetts Democrats are announcing a new transportation plan that,
yes, is going to mean raising revenue, a/k/a, taxes.
How will the average resident afford
all these increases? Especially those who are perhaps just getting
their feet back under themselves after a job loss? Is there some
point -- some tipping point -- where they say, “Enough is enough, I
have no more to give, I will no longer vote for candidates who want
to raise taxes?”
Yes, Massachusetts is a liberal state and increasing taxes to grow government is obviously more
accepted here than other places. But residents simply cannot have
bottomless wallets, even if they have strongly charitable feelings
for the government.
It seems maybe Massachusetts House
Speaker Robert DeLeo seems to think voters do have that tipping
point.
According to a recent State House News Service story, DeLeo called together Democratic House members at the Omni
Parker House to talk to them about the need to raise taxes in the
coming year. In the same meeting, he talked about the need to raise
money for next year's election.
We're guessing, and we think DeLeo is,
too, that major tax increases will mean a new crop of Republican
candidates challenging Democratic members. And, we're guessing, that most of these Republicans will use affordability (or the lack thereof) as the main part of their platform. But, the question is, unless voters have reached the tipping point and are willing to vote based on affordability, will enough people be listening to make a difference?
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